Showing 1 - 10 of 6,919
We explore the implications of asset price volatility for the management of monetary policy. We show that it is desirable for central banks to focus on underlying inflationary pressures. Asset prices become relevant only to the extent they may signal potential inflationary or deflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471216
This paper presents evidence on attitude changes among investors in the US stock market. Two basic attitudes are explored: bubble expectations and investor confidence. Semiannual time-series indicators of these attitudes are presented for US stock market institutional investors based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471792
bubbles in stock prices in a model in which stockholders have …rules out the existence of negative rational bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477082
This paper reports empirical tests for the existence of rational bubbles in stock prices. The analysis focuses on a … extraneous variables. The tests are based on the theoretical result that, if rational bubbles exist, time series obtained by …. Applications of the time domain tests to simulated nonstationary time series that would be implied by rational bubbles indicates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477310
economically interesting, i.e., forward looking, any rational bubbles would be either explosive or implosive. Further arguments … the value of fiat money. These arguments rule out both positive and negative rational bubbles, except for the poissibility … of rational inflationary bubbles.This paper extends the theoretical analysis of rational bubbles in two ways. First, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477466
There is a large and growing empirical literature that tests forthe existence of asset-price bubbles or "sunspot …" equilibria -- equilibria unrelated to market fundamentals. Our view is that even tests for non-stationary asset-price bubbles … ruling out nonstationary speculative price bubbles in models based on individual maximizing behavior. In the first part of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477481
deterministic bubbles and stochastic bubbles, for a model of inflation and for a model of the evolution of price and quantity in the … market fora storable commodity, such as gold. The analysis focuses on stochastic bubbles as a possibility peculiarly … points to no compelling reason to rule out rational stochastic bubbles apriori, conventional behavioral assumptions imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478044
This paper investigates the nature and the presence of bubbles in financial markets. Are bubbles consistent with … are some of the questions asked in the first three sections. The general conclusion is that bubbles, in many markets, are … consistent with rationality, that phenomena such as runaway asset prices and market crashes are consistent with rational bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478162
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479725
substantial bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481046