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After the economic reforms that followed the National Revolution of the 1950s, Bolivia seemed positioned for sustained growth. Indeed, it achieved unprecedented growth from 1960 to 1977. The rapid accumulation of debt due to persistent deficits and a fixed exchange rate policy during the 1970s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479478
Unexpected inflation devalues nominal government bonds. It must therefore correspond to a decline in expected future … each component via a vector autoregression, in response to inflation, recession, surplus and discount rate shocks. Discount … rates, rather than deficits, account for most inflation variation. Smooth inflation that slowly devalues outstanding long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479761
, we document several potential fiscal dominance effects during 2000-2017 under Inflation Targeting (IT), and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479945
This paper investigates whether permanent monetary tightenings increase inflation in the short run. It estimates, using … increases in the nominal interest-rate lead, in accordance with conventional wisdom, to a decrease in inflation and output and … an immediate increase in inflation and output and a decline in real rates. Permanent monetary shocks explain more than 40 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480740
collapse of the Bretton Woods system between 1971 and 1973 was rising U.S. inflation since 1965. It was driven in turn by … imports and a ninety day wage price freeze--was that U.S. inflation, driven by macro policies, was the main problem facing the … Federal Reserve Chairman Arthur F. Burns, Nixon adopted wage and price controls to mask the inflation, hence punting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481056
has evolved to study inflation in Japan. Our key finding is that labor market dynamics shifted after 1998 so that … relationship between wages and prices, so wage inflation has become a much less important determinant of price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481526
policies will adjust. Temporarily explosive debt has no effect on inflation if households expect all adjustments to occur … targeting inflation to stabilizing debt, then debt feeds directly into the path of inflation and monetary policy can no longer … control inflation. News that reduces expected primary surpluses can bring future inflation into the present, well before the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461858
a burst of inflation that devalues the existing nominal debt stock. The probability of this outcome places upward … pressure on inflation expectations and poses a substantial challenge to a central bank pursuing an inflation target. The … distribution of outcomes for the path of future inflation has a fat right tail, revealing that only a small set of outcomes imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462162
Observed inflation targets around the industrial world are concentrated at two percent per year. This chapter … investigates the extent to which the observed magnitudes of inflation targets are consistent with the optimal rate of inflation … inflation ranges from minus the real rate of interest to numbers insignificantly above zero. Furthermore, we argue that the zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462600
Japan suffered a very high inflation rate in 1973-74. The CPI inflation rate rose to near 30% in 1974, the highest rate …, the oil crisis is blamed for the 1973-74 high inflation. However, due to monetary policy decisions in 1972-73, the … inflation rate had already exceeded 10% before the onset of the oil crisis in October 1973. These decisions include the interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462925