Showing 1 - 10 of 7,440
, and high profit banks see their profits driven down quickly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463912
We introduce a new, hybrid measure of stock return tail covariance risk, motivated by the under-diversified portfolio holdings of individual investors, and investigate its cross-sectional predictive power. Our key innovation is that this covariance is measured across the left tail states of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459202
estimated. Using the full rainfall distribution and our profit function estimates, we find that Indian farmers on average under … expected profits. Farmers who use skilled forecasts have increased average profit levels but also have more variable profits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459327
This paper examines the flow of production and use of economic information and analyzes the effects of measurement … presumption that the measurement errors are random: Systematic errors are frequent and their sources and forms vary so much that … decade),measurement of short-term changes in the economy is particularly difficult and current signals are apt to be often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478831
Long-run forecasts of economic variables play an important role in policy, planning, and portfolio decisions. We consider long-horizon forecasts of average growth of a scalar variable, assuming that first differences are second-order stationary. The main contribution is the construction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459791
Costs of attention, while central to choice behavior, have proven hard to measure. We introduce a simple method of recovering them from choice data. Our recovery method rests on the observation that costs of attention play precisely the same role in consumer choice as do a competitive firm's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480875
Momentum in firm fundamentals, i.e., earnings momentum, explains the performance of strategies based on price momentum. Earnings surprise measures subsume past performance in cross sectional regressions of returns on firm characteristics, and the time-series performance of price momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457682
We construct a price, dividend, and earnings series for the Industrials sector, the Utilities sector, and the Railroads sector from the beginning of the 1870s until the beginning of the year 2013 from primary sources. To infer about mispricings in the sector markets over more than a century, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458297
Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination, following Meese and Rogoff (1983) have focused upon a narrow set of models. Cheung et al. (2005) augmented the usual suspects with productivity based models, and "behavioral equilibrium exchange rate" models, and assessed performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455414
Psychological evidence indicates that decision quality declines after an extensive session of decision-making, a phenomenon known as decision fatigue. We study whether decision fatigue affects analysts' judgments. Analysts cover multiple firms and often issue several forecasts in a single day....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453421