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I analyze efficient government interventions to mitigate financial distress during a severe macroeconomic downturn. At the macroeconomic level, the key variable is the gap between the real wage and the shadow cost of labor. This gap is large when unemployment is high. At the micro level,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482430
We adopt a time series approach to investigate the historical relation between unemployment, life expectancy, and mortality rates. We fit a Vector-autoregression (VAR) for the overall US population and for groups identified based on gender and race. We find that shocks to unemployment are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482522
The Covid-19 crisis is an unusual and seemingly all-encompassing economic shock. On the one hand, it was unquestionably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482564
The economic crisis associated with the emergence of the novel corona virus is unlike standard recessions. Demand for … pandemic. We also discuss the potential long-term implications of this crisis, including the role of automation in depressing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482720
, together with a large set of explanatory variables. Maybe not surprisingly, we find that politics played a very significant … of the politics and political-economy considerations that led to the specific content of each fiscal program will have to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660038
The impact of an economic shock depends both on its severity and the resilience of the economic response. Resilience can include the ability to relocate factors, for example, even when new technologies or skills are not yet at the ready. This resilience per se buffers production and has an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660108
We use a detailed micro dataset on product availability to construct a direct high-frequency measure of consumer product shortages during the 2020-2021 pandemic. We document a widespread multi-fold rise in shortages in nearly all sectors early in the pandemic. Over time, the composition of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629429
At the onset of the COVID-19 economic crisis, as in other crisis episodes, the flight to safety was accompanied by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629497
We test for heterogeneity in the effects of the COVID-19 recession on young workers by estimating month-by-month effects of the pandemic on labor market outcomes among workers aged 15-19 and aged 20-24. We use CPS data from January 2016 to June 2021, limiting the sample to childless individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629527
We follow the labor market outcomes of applicants who were randomized into job training a year and a half before the pandemic through the subsequent economic turmoil that resulted from COVID-19. Despite persistently improved labor market outcomes of training participants prior to March 2020, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794593