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-chain pressures eased, these firms were able to further increase markups due to the stickiness of inflation expectations. The …We document how supply-chain pressures, household inflation expectations, and firm pricing power interacted to induce … the pandemic-era surge in consumer price inflation in the euro area. Initially, supply-chain pressures increased inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421216
We study electric vehicle (EV) tax credits in the US Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), the largest climate policy in US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094874
Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
We study how investors respond to inflation combining a customized survey experiment with trading data at a time of … historically high inflation. Investors' beliefs about the stock return-inflation relation are very heterogeneous in the cross … section and on average too optimistic. Moreover, many investors appear unaware of inflation-hedging strategies despite being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544748
This paper studies people's understanding of inflation--their perceived causes, consequences, trade-offs--and the … views align with established economic theories. Our key findings show that the major perceived causes of inflation include … negative consequences of inflation but the most noted one is the increased complexity and difficulty in household decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544775
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576613
We study how within-store price variation changes with inflation, and whether households exploit it to attenuate the … inflation burden. We use micro price data for food products sold by 91 large multi-channel retailers in ten countries between … discounts grew at a much lower average rate than regular prices, helping to mitigate the inflation burden. By contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576655
, demand shocks, and monetary policy are the fundamental drivers of inflation. Endogenously time-varying risk premia imply that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226118