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The US government has recently conducted large scale purchases of assets and implemented policies that reduced the cost of funds to financial institutions. Arguably these policies have helped to correct credit market dysfunctions, allowing interest rate spreads to shrink and output to begin a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461516
A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459892
We analyze whether government spending multipliers differ by the sign of the shock. Using aggregate historical U.S. data, we apply Ben Zeev's (2020) nonlinear diagnostic tests and find evidence of nonlinearities in the impulse response functions of both government spending and GDP. We then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247936
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the "Renaissance" in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479486
We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462118
Credit markets typically freeze in recessions: access to credit declines and the cost of credit increases. A conventional policy response is to rely on monetary tools to saturate financial markets with liquidity. Given limited space for monetary policy in the current economic conditions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479179
This paper proposes a methodology for measuring credit booms and uses it to identify credit booms in emerging and industrial economies over the past four decades. In addition, we use event study methods to identify the key empirical regularities of credit booms in macroeconomic aggregates and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464598
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and …We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely … determined in our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479524
effects from these partisan differences. First, the transfer multiplier would rise by 0.60 if Republican governors were to … imply variation in the fiscal multiplier of 0.40. Local projection regressions support this prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482641
countries, (ii) the fiscal multiplier is relatively large in economies operating under predetermined exchange rates but is zero …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462178