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In a standard open-economy New Keynesian model, the effective lower bound causes anomalies: output and terms of trade respond to a supply shock in the opposite direction compared to normal times. We introduce a tractable two-country model to accommodate for unconventional monetary policy. In our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453006
This paper first considers the impact on world food prices of the changes in restrictions on trade in staple foods during the 2008 world food price crisis. Those changes--reductions in import protection or increases in export restraints--were meant to partially insulate domestic markets from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459131
very powerful impact on today's consumption and inflation: because agents are partially myopic, this effect is muted. (v … "neo-Fisherian" in the long run, but Keynesian in the short run: a permanent rise in the interest rate decreases inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455726
rate together with QE or fiscal transfers, can stabilize three targets simultaneously: inflation, the aggregate output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477198
does not tighten monetary policy. Imported energy inflation can spill over to wage inflation through a wage-price spiral …, but this does not mitigate the decline in real wages. Monetary tightening has limited effect on imported inflation when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337777
unique survey-based measures of expected inflation, output growth, and interest rates, we estimate a small-scale New … guidance less effective. In a counterfactual analysis, we document that inflation would have been significantly higher, and the … public perceived central bank forward guidance statements to be perfectly credible. Moreover, inflation would have declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421202
This paper studies the implications of household heterogeneity for the effectiveness of quantitative easing (QE). We consider a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian (HANK) model with uninsurable household income risk. Financial intermediaries are subject to an endogenous leverage constraint that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361984
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of fiscal and labor market policies in a small open developing country. The basic framework considers an economy with a large informal production sector and a heterogeneous work force. The labor market is segmented as a result of efficiency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474150
This paper investigates the potential impacts of the degree of divergence in open macroeconomic policies in the context of the trilemma hypothesis. Using an index that measures the relative policy divergence among the three trilemma policy choices, namely monetary independence, exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459214
inflation. In the 2000s, and at least until the end of 2007, even larger increases in the price of oil were associated with much … milder movements in output and inflation. Using a structural VAR approach Blanchard and Gali (2007a) argued that this has … reflected in large part a change in the causal relation from the price of oil to output and inflation. In order to shed light on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463182