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1
Exchange Rates and Fundamentals
Engel, Charles
-
2004
We show analytically that in a rational expectations present value model, an asset price manifests near random walk behavior if fundamentals are I(1) and the factor for discounting future fundamentals is near one. We argue that this result helps explain the well known puzzle that fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467971
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2
Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs
Furceri, Davide
-
2018
We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases lead, in the medium term, to economically and statistically significant declines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481049
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3
Shining a Light on Purchasing Power Parities
Pinkovskiy, Maxim
-
2018
study of PPP-adjusted estimates of GDP around the
world
between 1992 and 2010. First, we find that while market exchange … optimal. Using data from the Penn
World
Tables, we find that, indeed, it is optimal to only use the latest price data, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453295
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4
Precaution Versus Mercantilism : Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate
Choi, Woo Jin
-
2017
We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455340
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5
Accounting for the Effect of Health on Economic Growth
Weil, David N.
-
2005
I use microeconomic estimates of the effect of health on individual outcomes to construct macroeconomic estimates of the proximate effect of health on GDP per capita. I employ avariety of methods to construct estimates of the return to health, which I combine with cross-country and historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467224
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6
News Shocks in Open Economies : Evidence from Giant Oil Discoveries
Arezki, Rabah
-
2015
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output-the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457809
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7
Pricing to Market, Staggered Contracts, and Real Exchange Rate Persistence
Bergin, Paul R.
-
1999
This paper offers an explanation for the persistence observed in real exchange rate movements. The model combines pricing to market behavior with sticky prices generated by staggered contracts. A translog preference structure is sued to enhance both features. The paper finds that openness limits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471774
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8
The Adjustment of Prices and the Adjustment of the Exchange Rate
Engel, Charles
-
2001
The purchasing power parity puzzle relates to the adjustment of real exchange rates. Real exchange rates are extremely volatile, suggesting that temporary shocks emanate from the monetary sector. But the half-life of real exchange rate deviations is extremely large -- 2.5 to 5 years. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470168
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9
The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate : A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies
Lee, Jaewoo
-
1998
A sticky-price model is used to motivate a structural VAR analysis of the current account and the real exchange rate for seven major industrialized countries (the US, Canada, the UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy). The analysis is distinguished from previous work in that it adopts minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472307
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10
Is Real Exchange Rate Mean Reversion Caused By Arbitrage?
Campa, Jose M.
-
1997
The presence of purchasing power parity is often attributed to the exploitation of arbitrage opportunities in goods markets. We examine this presumption for a 1960-1996 monthly panel of bilateral exchange rates and trade for the G7 countries. The data exhibit strong mean reversion. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472652
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