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We propose an approach to measuring the state of the economy via textual analysis of business news. From the full text content of 800,000 Wall Street Journal articles for 1984{2017, we estimate a topic model that summarizes business news as easily interpretable topical themes and quantifies the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479172
A key challenge for research on many questions in the social sciences is that it is difficult to link historical records in a way that allows investigators to observe people at different points in their life or across generations. In this paper, we develop a new approach that relies on millions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480171
In 1966, the philosopher Michael Polanyi observed, "We can know more than we can tell... The skill of a driver cannot be replaced by a thorough schooling in the theory of the motorcar; the knowledge I have of my own body differs altogether from the knowledge of its physiology." Polanyi's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458183
automation in the textile industry. Despite cotton textiles becoming one of the largest sectors in the British economy, real … wages for cotton weavers did not rise for decades. As E.P. Thompson emphasized, automation forced workers into unhealthy … factories with close surveillance and little autonomy. Automation can increase wages, but only when accompanied by new tasks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544695
We argue theoretically and document empirically that aging leads to greater (industrial) automation, and in particular … older to middle-aged workers--is associated with greater adoption of robots and other automation technologies across … development of automation technologies in countries undergoing greater demographic change. Our directed technological change model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453293
We summarize a framework for the study of the implications of automation and AI on the demand for labor, wages, and … employment. Our task-based framework emphasizes the displacement effect that automation creates as machines and AI replace labor … counteracted by a productivity effect, resulting from the cost savings generated by automation, which increase the demand for labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453517
We study the impact of AI on labor markets, using establishment level data on vacancies with detailed occupational information comprising the near-universe of online vacancies in the US from 2010 onwards. We classify establishments as "AI exposed" when their workers engage in tasks that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482476
evaluate the global consequences of automation. Automation, modeled as capital- and high-skill biased technological change, is … a range of foundational models of automation. In our baseline scenario, automation has a moderate effect on regional … of the advanced technology and providing universal basic income to share gains from automation. The former policy can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629440
We show, using machine learning, that fund characteristics can consistently differentiate high from low-performing mutual funds, as well as identify funds with net-of-fees abnormal returns. Fund momentum and fund flow are the most important predictors of future risk-adjusted fund performance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938692
General purpose technologies (GPTs) push out the production possibility frontier and are of strategic importance to managers and policymakers. While theoretical models that explain the characteristics, benefits, and approaches to create and capture value from GPTs have advanced significantly,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938736