probability of disaster leads to a collapse of investment and a recession, an increase in risk spreads, and a decrease in the … shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic …

The theoretical relationship between investment and uncertainty is ambiguous. This paper briefly surveys the insights … theoretical effects. Our results from a panel of U.S. manufacturing firms indicate a negative effect of uncertainty on investment … consistent with theories of irreversible investment. We find no evidence for a positive effect via the channel of the convexity …

's macroeconomic performance, as reflected by impulse response functions for investment, employment and output. Our study adds to …

future oil price volatility derived from the NYMEX futures options market. Using a dynamic model of firms' investment problem …

In this paper we study "investment tournaments," a class of decision problems that involve gradual allocation of … investment among several alternatives whose values are subject to exogenous shocks. The decision-maker's payoff is determined by … an early stage of the tournament in a bid to capture a larger share of employer's investment, such as mentoring …

role of secondary markets in providing opportunities for redistributing risk is made transparent and the modifications …

I characterize a dynamic economy under general distributions of households' risk tolerance, endowments, and beliefs … consumption-share increases; (b) the wealth-share of high risk-tolerant households increases; (c) richer households' wealth … risk sharing. Higher uncertainty increases stock prices, risk premiums, volatility, wealth inequality and the dispersion of …

explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …