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This paper examines the risk aspects of a fully phased-in investment-based defined contribution Social Security plan … system. A higher saving rate provides a cushion' that reduces the risk of unacceptably low benefits. For example, saving 6 … is less than the benchmark. In 95 percent of the potential investment experience the annuity exceeds 61 percent of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471973
The data show that an increase in government provided old-age pensions is strongly correlated with a reduction in fertility. What type of model is consistent with this finding? We explore this question using two models of fertility, the one by Barro and Becker (1989), and the one inspired by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467539
implications for the allocation of risk between generations. There is no reason to presume that the market or the family can … allocate risk efficiently to future generations, implying that stochastic government policies have the potential to create …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477349
This paper presents a dynamic model of a public pension fund's choice of portfolio risk. Optimal portfolio allocations … public pension fund management, we find evidence that funds chose greater overall asset - liability portfolio risk following … periods of relatively poor investment performance. In addition, pension plans that select a relatively high rate with which to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462201
Some contend the US labor market will fail to adapt smoothly to an aging workforce, whereas others argue that employee pensions can and will play an important role in helping companies induce desired turnover patterns. This paper undertakes a longitudinal examination of pension retirement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475962
benefits of risk reduction, leaving systems with more frequent adjustments that spread risks broadly among generations as those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463965
This paper studies the macroeconomic and efficiency effects of privatizing social security. It does so by simulating alternative privatization schemes using the Auerbach-Kotlikoff Dynamic Life-Cycle Model. The simulations indicate three things. First, privatizing social security can generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473058
The fact that consumers do not know in advance the dates at which they will die effects their individual consumption and portfolio decisions. In general, some consumers will end up leaving bequests at death, even if they have no bequest motive, simply because they happen to die at a time when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477718
The social security program now provides a constant real benefit throughout each retirees lifetime. This paper examines whether total welfare would rise if benefits were lower in early retirement years (when most individuals have some saving with which to finance consumption) and higher in later...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476237
In the political-economy debate people express the idea that immigrants are good because they can help pay for the old, thus help sustaining the social security system. In addition, the median voter whose income derives from wages will wish to keep out the immigrants who will depress his/her...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465048