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interpret. We propose a new approach to modeling bond risk and risk premia. For each of the US and China, we reduce the … the joint dynamics of its volatility and Sharpe ratio as functions of yield curve variables, and of VIX in the US. We have … volatility is as important as time variation in bond Sharpe ratios. (3) Bond risk premia are solely compensation for bond risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482660
rural incomes in China. Current literature based on analyses of rural income volatility in China decomposes poverty into … increase from around 1.8 in the late 1980's to over 3 today. These estimates do not take into account the higher volatility of … rural income volatility. Here we use a direct method instead to adjust rural income for volatility using a certainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465883
This paper exploits two unique features of China's history to study the effects of access to internal migration … volatility for rural households. Furthermore, household production shifts into high-risk, high-return activities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457353
Modern information technologies have greatly facilitated timely dissemination of information to a broad base of investors at low costs. To examine their effects on the real economy, we exploit the staggered implementation of the EDGAR system from 1993 to 1996 as a shock to information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481384
Supporters of touch-screen voting claim it is a highly reliable voting technology, while a growing number of critics argue that paperless electronic voting systems are vulnerable to fraud. In this paper we use county-level data on voting technologies in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467374
This paper examines the output contributions of capital and labor deployed in information systems (IS) at the firm level during the period 1988-91 throughout the business sector, using two different sources of data on these inputs. Our production function estimates suggest that there are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474402
of volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility spillover … across countries. Our analysis relies both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results indicate that … high-volatility episodes are, in general, short-lived, lasting from two to seven weeks. We find some weak evidence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470937
efforts, several structural sources of volatility remain, and new ones have emerged as a result of the new and otherwise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470968
This paper is an investigation into the determinants of asymmetries in stock returns. We develop a series of cross-sectional regression specifications which attempt to forecast skewness in the daily returns of individual stocks. Negative skewness is most pronounced in stocks that have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471074
This paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm … levels. Over the period 1962-97 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility …, while the number of stocks needed to achieve a given level of diversification has increased. All the volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471179