Showing 1 - 10 of 10
We use an expectation-augmented SVAR representation of an open economy New Keynesian model to study monetary transmission in Brazil and Chile. The underlying structural model incorporates key structural features of Emerging Market economies, notably the role of a bank-credit channel. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562387
The importance of modelling correlation has long been recognised in the field of portfolio management with large dimensional multivariate problems are increasingly becoming the focus of research. This paper provides a straightforward and commonsense approach toward investigating a number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854931
The importance of covariance modelling has long been recognised in the field of portfolio management and large dimensional multivariate problems are increasingly becoming the focus of research. This paper provides a straightforward and commonsense approach toward investigating whether simpler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645703
Within the context of volatility timing and portfolio selection this paper considers how best to estimate a volatility … model. Two issues are dealt with, namely the frequency of data used to construct volatility estimates, and the loss function … used to estimate the parameters of a volatility model. We find support for the use of intraday data for estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645704
We analyze the puzzling behavior of the volatility of individual stock returns over the past few decades. The … literature has provided many different explanations to the trend in volatility and this paper tests the viability of the … volatility over time lend themselves to explanations about the difference in volatility levels between firms in the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008853874
information flows on realized volatility. Additionally, the extent to which the volume of the information flow as well as the …There is a long history of research into the impact of trading activity and information on financial market volatility … sentiment inherent in the news affects volatility is also examined. Both the sentiment and rate of news flow are found to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783688
Recent advances in the measurement of volatility have utilized high frequency intraday data to produce what are … generally known as realised volatility estimates. It has been shown that forecasts generated from such estimates are of positive … the loss function under which models of realised volatility are estimated. It is found that employing a utility based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562388
This paper presents a GARCH type volatility model with a time-varying unconditional volatility which is a function of … macroeconomic variables can be easily incorporated into volatility forecasts for share index returns. It transpires that the model … proposed here can lead to significantly improved volatility forecasts compared to traditional GARCH type volatility models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416549
A well developed literature exists in relation to modeling and forecasting asset return volatility. Much of this relate … to the development of time series models of volatility. This paper proposes an alternative method for forecasting … volatility that does not involve such a model. Under this approach a forecast is a weighted average of historical volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036160
Forecasts of asset return volatility are necessary for many financial applications, including portfolio allocation …. Traditionally, the parameters of econometric models used to generate volatility forecasts are estimated in a statistical setting and … paper investigates the economic benefit of direct utility based estimation of the parameters of a volatility model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015195