Infrastructure projects involve multiple parties: a government, private sector firms that build and manage, and outside investors who supply financing. Private sector firms need incentives to implement and maintain the projects well; governments may lack commitment not to extort cash flows (for...

We estimate the value of ending a pandemic using the joint behavior of stock prices and a vaccine progress indicator during 2020. In a general equilibrium model, the observed market response to vaccine progress serves to identify the expected rate of loss of wealth during the pandemic, which...