Showing 1 - 10 of 59
This paper presents a two-country model linking Poland and the euro area and applies it for assessment of heterogeneity across these two regions. Overall, our results can be seen as rather inconclusive about the differences in parameters describing agents' decision-making in Poland and in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130695
In a New Keynesian model with asymmetric information and learning we show that publication of macroeconomic projections and of the future interest rate path by the central bank can improve macroeconomic outcomes. However, the gains from publishing interest rate paths are small relative to those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130699
The paper investigates the links between business cycle variables and loan losses of Polish commercial banks. A panel approach was chosen in order to make maximum use of available supervisory data, and to capture the impact of bank profile on loan losses. Loan losses are proxied by the flow of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130701
There are many issues associated with the Eurozone accession of Poland. The goal of this paper is to analyse one, but very important aspect, namely – the macroeconomic impact of the loss of autonomous monetary policy. In order to answer this question, we build a two country DSGE model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130739
This paper presents the structural macroeconometric model of the Polish economy, NECMOD, which was developed foremost to facilitate implementation of the monetary policy in Poland through a regular delivery of inflation and GDP projections. The model encompasses all major channels of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130751
This paper presents an update of the structural macroeconometric model of the Polish economy NECMOD. The updated version of the model is, similarly as its predecessor, used at the National Bank of Poland for forecasting and policy simulation exercises. NECMOD is a hybrid, medium-scale and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130752
Euro-area accession caused boom-bust cycles in several catching-up economies. Declining interest rates and easier financing conditions fuelled spending and worsened the current account balance. Over time inflation deteriorated external competitiveness and lowered domestic demand, turning the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131035
The aim of this paper is to assess the non-monetary effects of the euro accession of Poland. The literature identifies two channels that potentially may affect the economy: (i) diminishing of investment risk premia through lower interest rates and cost of capital services and (ii) trade creation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131223
This paper analyzes the sources of labor share variations and its general downward trend, observed recently in most European economies. Using a unique quarterly firmlevel panel dataset from the Polish enterprise sector in the period 1995–2008, we quantify the impacts on the observed variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131225
We construct an open-economy DSGE model with a banking sector to analyse the impact of the recent credit crunch on a small open economy. In our model the banking sector operates under monopolistic competition, collects deposits and grants collateralized loans. Collateral effects amplify monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131267