The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of monetary policy on financial asset prices in Poland. Following Gürkaynak et al. (2005) I test how many factors adequately explain the variability of short-term interest rates around MPC meetings, finding that there are two such factors. The...

Starting from the mid-2000s, Poland experienced a period of rapid growth in mortgage lending, with banks offering foreign-currency, high-LTV housing loans, which exposed the sector to rising credit risk and funding challenges. Later, a surge in consumer lending led to a threat of rising credit...

The article presents an theoretical analysis of the developer sector, which bases on the observed functioning of the market. We explain the behaviour of developers in the short and medium run and show why they add to the creation of a real estate bubble instead of mitigating it. The bubbles...

We estimate the set of panel and spatial panel data models of employment and investments for 379 Polish counties over the period 2003-2012. We take advantage of a unique firm-level dataset for Polish Special Economic Zones (SSEs), which includes about 30,000 observations. We find that SSEs have...

This paper examines to what extent public information provided by the central bank affects the forecasts formulated by professional forecasters. We investigate empirically whether disclosing GDP and inflation forecasts by Narodowy Bank Polski (the central bank of Poland) reduces the disagreement...

Following Nyman (2010), the paper provides an indicator of resource utilization (RU) for the Polish economy based on survey and labour market data. The indicator is subsequently used to identify output gap. Using real-time dataset, we find that output gap constructed in this way is revised to a...

In this article we present four diversified approaches to forecasting main macroeconomic variables without a priori assumptions concerning causality. We include tendency survey data in both the Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) and the dynamic factor models (DFM) frameworks. With...

The development of the card payment system allows for lowering the costs of money emission and circulation and thereby leads to significant economic gains. Yet relatively small amount of research has been dedicated to the analysis of the determinants of these developments. Therefore, the aim of...

This paper presents survey-based direct measures of inflation expectations of consumers, enterprises and financial sector analysts in Poland. It then goes on to provide the results of testing those features of inflation expectations that seem the most important from the point of view of monetary...

The housing market (primary, secondary or rental) is very often analyzed as a whole, big market in a selected country. Our analysis focuses on the fundamental determinants of this market in 16 biggest cities in Poland, which are the capital cities of the 16 voivodeships. We also clustered the...