Morley, James C.; Piger, Jeremy Max - In: Nonlinear time series analysis of business cycles, (pp. 75-95). 2006
This paper considers the ability of simulated data from linear and nonlinear time-series models to reproduce features in U.S. real GDP data related to business cycle phases. We focus our analysis on a number of linear ARIMA models and nonlinear Markov-switching models. To determine the timing of...
