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US current account deficit could occur. The shocks considered include dollar depreciation, fiscal consolidation, and an … to materially reduce the US external deficit. In part, this is because second-round effects, including domestic policy … deficit involves risks to growth in the rest of the world, particularly in Japan where the authorities have limited room to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444349
During the first two years of monetary union, the euro's weakness surprised most market participants. Explanations proliferated ranging from fundamentals such as differences in growth prospects to psychological factors such as herd behaviour, but no single story fully accounts for the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446955
US current account deficit could occur. The shocks considered include dollar depreciation, fiscal consolidation, and an … to materially reduce the US external deficit. In part, this is because second-round effects, including domestic policy … deficit involves risks to growth in the rest of the world, particularly in Japan where the authorities have limited room to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045912
During the first two years of monetary union, the euro's weakness surprised most market participants. Explanations proliferated ranging from fundamentals such as differences in growth prospects to psychological factors such as herd behaviour, but no single story fully accounts for the observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045928
This paper considers the increase in current account imbalances in euro area countries since the early 1990s. While the euro area as a whole has remained relatively close to external balance, the current account balances of individual countries have diverged: Spain, Greece and Portugal ran large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012443026
and surpluses were larger than appear justified by economic fundamentals. The massive debt accumulation made deficit … fuelled credit booms and a weakening of competitiveness in some deficit countries. Weaknesses in financial regulation and over …-optimistic growth expectations encouraged excessive risk-taking in both deficit and surplus countries. Harmful imbalances can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444092
Global external imbalances widened persistently over the last several years and have narrowed abruptly over the course of the financial crisis. Understanding the extent to which structural or cyclical factors may have driven these patterns is important to assess the likely evolution of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445906
Using empirical evidence from panel analysis of current account dynamics and of bilateral trade balances, the paper argues that the large German current account surplus during the 2000s can be explained by an increasing gap between productivity growth in manufacturing vis-à-vis services. Such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276815
Turkey’s current account deficit widened to almost 10% of GDP in 2011 and has been narrowing only gradually since. An … important question is to what extent Turkey’s current account deficit is excessive. To explore this issue, one needs to …. Results from both approaches suggest that current account benchmarks for the current account deficit lie in the range of 3% to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276873
Following Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comments before Congress that the FOMC may ‘take a step down in the pace of asset purchases if economic improvement appears to be sustained’, US 10-year interest rates picked up sharply and gross capital flows to emerging market economies (EMEs) reversed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276981