Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 325
Cover Image
Modelling Import Responsiveness for OECD Manufactures Trade
Meacci, Mara - 2001
The degree of integration and openness of OECD economies has consistently increased throughout most of the past three decades. By limiting the influence of non-economic factors, and reducing heterogeneity in economic systems, increased integration and openness enhance the emergence of common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446638
Cover Image
A Dynamic Factor Model for World Trade Growth
Guichard, Stéphanie; Rusticelli, Elena - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2011
This paper reviews the main monthly indicators that could help forecasting world trade and compares different type of … forecasting models using these indicators. In particular it develops dynamic factor models (DFM) which have the advantage of … and information technology indices. The comparison of the forecasting performance of the DFMs with more traditional bridge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009131541
Cover Image
New OECD Methods for Supply-side and Medium-term Assessments : A Capital Services Approach
Beffy, Pierre-Olivier; Ollivaud, Patrice; Richardson, Pete - 2006
The OECD makes frequent use of the supply-side framework and associated measures of factor productivity, productive potential and associated output gaps in the assessment of the short-term conjunctural situation, comparative economic performance and longer-term growth determinants. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445830
Cover Image
Modelling Import Responsiveness for OECD Manufactures Trade
Meacci, Mara; Turner, David - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2001
The degree of integration and openness of OECD economies has consistently increased throughout most of the past three decades. By limiting the influence of non-economic factors, and reducing heterogeneity in economic systems, increased integration and openness enhance the emergence of common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045601
Cover Image
Comparing Semi-Structural Methods to Estimate Unobserved Variables : The HPMV and Kalman Filters Approaches
Boone, Laurence - 2000
Economists often seek to estimate unobserved variables, representing “equilibrium” or “expected” values of economic variables, as benchmarks against which observed, realised values of these variables may be evaluated. Such comparisons are often used as economic policy indicators, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445291
Cover Image
The Concept, Policy Use and Measurement of Structural Unemployment : Estimating a Time Varying NAIRU Across 21 OECD Countries
Richardson, Pete; Boone, Laurence; Giorno, Claude; … - 2000
The structural rate of unemployment and associated non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (the NAIRU) are of major importance to the analysis of macro and structural economic developments, although in practice these concepts are not well defined and there is considerable uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444864
Cover Image
New OECD Methods for Supply-side and Medium-term Assessments: A Capital Services Approach
Beffy, Pierre-Olivier; Ollivaud, Patrice; Richardson, Pete - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2006
The OECD makes frequent use of the supply-side framework and associated measures of factor productivity, productive potential and associated output gaps in the assessment of the short-term conjunctural situation, comparative economic performance and longer-term growth determinants. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045696
Cover Image
Modelling Manufacturing Export Volumes Equations : A System Estimation Approach
Murata, Keiko; Turner, Dave; Rae, Dave; Le Fouler, Laurence - 2000
International trade is a principle transmission mechanism by which developments in one country can have repercussions in others and how it is modelled is an important part of any multi-country model. This paper describes recent estimation work carried out by the OECD, which respecifies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012442858
Cover Image
Modelling Manufacturing Export Volumes Equations: A System Estimation Approach
Murata, Keiko; Turner, Dave; Rae, David; Fouler, Laurence Le - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2000
International trade is a principle transmission mechanism by which developments in one country can have repercussions in others and how it is modelled is an important part of any multi-country model. This paper describes recent estimation work carried out by the OECD, which respecifies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046180
Cover Image
Understanding the World Trade Collapse
Cheung, Calista; Guichard, Stéphanie - Economics Department, Organisation de Coopération et … - 2009
The collapse in world trade volumes at the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009 was exceptional by historical standards. This paper shows that world demand (to which trade has become more responsive in recent decades) can explain most of the collapse in world trade, but that tight credit conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498038