to forecast GDP growth of the six largest member countries is developed, using quantile regressions to construct a … probability distribution of future GDP, as opposed to mean point forecasts. This approach allows uncertainty to be assessed …

around point forecasts. The procedure is applied, by way of example, to the short-term real GDP growth forecasts generated by … the OECD Indicator Model for Germany. The empirical probability distributions of the GDP growth forecasts, derived through … the bootstrapping technique, allow the ex ante probability of, for example, a negative GDP growth forecast for the current …

business cycle, calling for a reassessment. This paper analyses the OECD's annual GDP growth projections for the G7 countries …

This paper assesses if GDP per capita is an adequate proxy as a measure of wellbeing or whether other indicators are …, but they are closely correlated with GDP per capita and are not as readily available. Illustrative calculations to ?extend … suggest that cross-country ranking of based on these indicators and GDP per capita are generally similar, although they have …

production, GDP and unemployment -- are also selected, but more frequently at very short horizons. The variables selected do not …