Showing 1 - 10 of 147
. High consumer price inflation and a wide current account deficit are sources of vulnerability. Even though below … unsustainable growth and externally viable but low growth. Monetary policy needs to bring inflation and inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464946
This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery … the slowdown and later the weak pace of the recovery – errors made by many other forecasters. At the same time, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
internal devaluation with productivity increasing measures, including capital deepening and laying off low productivity workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711224
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231008
This paper describes the methodology used in the OECD Economics Department to produce historical estimates and short-run projections of potential output. These estimates are used mainly in the OECD Economic Outlook, in country surveys and as starting point for long-run scenarios. Total-economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111102
2011 and consumer price inflation rose to over 10%. The external deficit, which is far too large for comfort, is a source … of vulnerability. So is high inflation, even if it partly reflects transient factors. These imbalances signal … levers. Monetary policy has recently tried to reduce the volatility of capital flows but inflation has been high and volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690909
products when competition intensifies in their export destinations and that these dynamics lead to productivity gains at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304419
In many OECD countries, government debt reached levels over recent years that call for reduction over the medium to longer term to ensure public finance sustainability. This paper investigates the international transmission of fiscal consolidation shocks via trade flows. Using a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230999
In the wake of the financial crisis there has been renewed focus on the importance of a country’s net external debt position in determining domestic interest rates and, relatedly, its vulnerability to a crisis. This paper extends the panel estimation of OECD countries described in Turner and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231409
The challenge for fiscal policy in Slovakia is to achieve fiscal consolidation in a way which supports the fragile recovery and protects spending on areas which are important for re-embarking on a trajectory of high trend growth and underpinning a catch-up in living standards. While the recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711240