Showing 1 - 10 of 145
. High consumer price inflation and a wide current account deficit are sources of vulnerability. Even though below … unsustainable growth and externally viable but low growth. Monetary policy needs to bring inflation and inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464946
This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery … the slowdown and later the weak pace of the recovery – errors made by many other forecasters. At the same time, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
internal devaluation with productivity increasing measures, including capital deepening and laying off low productivity workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711224
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231008
2011 and consumer price inflation rose to over 10%. The external deficit, which is far too large for comfort, is a source … of vulnerability. So is high inflation, even if it partly reflects transient factors. These imbalances signal … levers. Monetary policy has recently tried to reduce the volatility of capital flows but inflation has been high and volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690909
products when competition intensifies in their export destinations and that these dynamics lead to productivity gains at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304419
To investigate how public finances could best be designed to promote long-run growth and address inequality, it is essential to have comprehensive, cross-country comparable data on government spending and revenues, along with structural and policy indicators. By identifying key variables of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578193
The paper describes the fiscal framework used in long-term economic scenarios, with some emphasis on revisions made since the 2013 vintage of the long-term model. Long-term projections for public spending on pensions, health and long-term care are now separate from other primary expenditure and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011823641
New indicators measuring the effects of public spending on inclusive growth have been constructed using recent empirical work by Fournier and Johansson (2016) and a recent public finance dataset (Bloch et al., 2016). A first set of indicators combines information on the mix of public spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914165
The recent euro area sovereign debt crisis has shown the importance of market reactions for the sustainability of debt. The objective of this paper is to calculate endogenous government debt limits given the markets assessment of the probability to default. The estimated primary balance reaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399483