Showing 1 - 10 of 146
. High consumer price inflation and a wide current account deficit are sources of vulnerability. Even though below … unsustainable growth and externally viable but low growth. Monetary policy needs to bring inflation and inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464946
This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery … the slowdown and later the weak pace of the recovery – errors made by many other forecasters. At the same time, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
internal devaluation with productivity increasing measures, including capital deepening and laying off low productivity workers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711224
China is well-placed to avoid the so-called “middle-income trap” and to continue to converge towards the more advanced economies, even though growth is likely to slow from near double-digit rates in the first decade of this millennium to around 7% at the 2020 horizon. However, in order to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231008
2011 and consumer price inflation rose to over 10%. The external deficit, which is far too large for comfort, is a source … of vulnerability. So is high inflation, even if it partly reflects transient factors. These imbalances signal … levers. Monetary policy has recently tried to reduce the volatility of capital flows but inflation has been high and volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690909
products when competition intensifies in their export destinations and that these dynamics lead to productivity gains at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304419
The recent euro area sovereign debt crisis has shown the importance of market reactions for the sustainability of debt. The objective of this paper is to calculate endogenous government debt limits given the markets assessment of the probability to default. The estimated primary balance reaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399483
The sharp rise in debt experienced by most OECD countries raises questions about the prudent debt level countries should target. It also raises questions about the fiscal frameworks needed to reach them and to accommodate cyclical fluctuations along the path towards a prudent debt target. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399529
Fiscal constitutions comprise the set of rules and frameworks guiding fiscal policy that are enshrined in a country’s fundamental laws. This paper compares the fiscal constitutions of 15 federal countries by empirically assessing five building blocks: 1) the power of sub-national governments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399580
Since 1995 when OECD began conducting Economic Surveys of the Russian Federation many policy recommendations relating to structural reform and framework conditions have been made. This paper is an update of an earlier paper that described actions taken up to October 2011 (Vaziakova et al.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399592