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Although the properties of the ARCH(∞) model are well investigated, the existence of long memory FIGARCH and IARCH … finite variance FIGARCH and IARCH models and, thus, the possibility of long memory in the ARCH setting was doubtful. The … present paper solves this controversy by showing that FIGARCH and IARCH equations have a non-trivial covariance stationary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460773
Empirical support for the long-run Fisher effect, a hypothesis that a permanent change in inflation leads to an equal change in the nominal interest rate, has been hard to come by. This paper provides a plausible explanation of why past studies have been unable to find support for the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292360
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 in most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060197
ARFIMA, AR, MA, ARMA, GARCH, and STAR models. This is done via examination of ex ante forecasting evidence based on an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266365
-of-sample predictions than AR, MA, ARMA, GARCH, and related models, with very few models being ?better? than ARFIMA models, based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276818
Several central banks have adopted inflation targets. The implementation of these targets is flexible; the central banks aim to meet the target over the long term but allow inflation to deviate from the target in the short-term in order to avoid unnecessary volatility in the real economy. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208665
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500194
One of the fastest growing areas in empirical finance, and also one of the least rigorously analyzed, especially from a financial econometrics perspective, is the econometric analysis of financial derivatives, which are typically complicated and difficult to analyze. The purpose of this special...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256249
An exact maximum likelihood method is developed for the estimation of parameters in a non-Gaussian nonlinear log-density function that depends on a latent Gaussian dynamic process with long-memory properties. Our method relies on the method of importance sampling and on a linear Gaussian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261933
<p>A key application of long memory time series models concerns inflation. Long memory implies that shocks have a long-lasting effect. It may however be that empirical evidence for long memory is caused by neglecting one or more level shifts. Since such level shifts are not unlikely for inflation,...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209483