En la práctica financiera y la enseñanza de las finanzas el tratamiento que se le da a algunos de los conceptos más importantes en la evaluación de proyectos y la valoración de empresas en muchos casos es por decir lo menos, ligero. Por un lado está la determinación de los flujos de caja...

In this teaching note I list some suggestions that might be useful to take into account when forecasting financial statements departing from historical data. The ideas presented in this note are the result of advising undergraduate and graduate students in the course Econ 195.96/295.96...

Este es material de curso del libro Decisiones Empresariales bajo Riesgo e Incertidumbre. El nivel del libro es basico. Se usan muy pocas matematicas y puede ser usado por gerentes. Este capitulo 12 estudia el problema de la toma de decisiones bajo riesgo e incertidumbre. Se presentan las ideas...

This is a case for teaching. This case shows through several examples that the Net Present Value for project evaluation should be calculated based on estimates at current prices. It has been a widespread practice to evaluate projects at constant prices with a great deal of -today- unnecessary...

We discuss some ideas useful when forecasting financial statements that are based on historical data.The chapter is organized as follows: First we discuss the relevance of prospective analysis for non traded firms. In a second section we a basic reviews of subjects that will be needed for...

Business economics does not provide any methodology for appraising strategic investments, relying on informal approaches. Conversely, financial economics offers us plenty of sophisticated mathematical models unsuitable for applications and based on unrealistic assumptions. This paper presents an...

Este es material de curso del libro Decisiones Empresariales bajo Riesgo e Incertidumbre. El nivel del libro es basico. Se usan muy pocas matematicas y puede ser usado por gerentes. En este sexto capitulo se presenta la idea del analisis de sensibilidad. Se ilustran las diferentes formas de...

In this teaching note we show how to use sensitivity analysis to consider uncertainty in the valuation of cash flows. We illustrate in a very simple way the use of the traditional identical percent change in the variables and an approximate approach that considers the probability of occurrence...

I present a set of conditions for defining risky debt associated to cash flow and not to accounting earnings. I explain why realization of tax shields for finite cash flows in any period of time t are correlated to Earnings before Interest and Taxes and are not correlated to interest expenses at...