En esta nota pedagógica presento algunas sugerencias e ideas que puede ser útil tener en cuenta cuando se trata de pronosticar estados financieros a partir de datos históricos. Las ideas que se presentan son el resultado de la experiencia de aconsejar a los estudiantes de licenciatura y de...

In this teaching note I list some suggestions that might be useful to take into account when forecasting financial statements departing from historical data. The ideas presented in this note are the result of advising undergraduate and graduate students in the course Econ 195.96/295.96...

We discuss some ideas useful when forecasting financial statements that are based on historical data.The chapter is organized as follows: First we discuss the relevance of prospective analysis for non traded firms. In a second section we a basic reviews of subjects that will be needed for...

I present a set of conditions for defining risky debt associated to cash flow and not to accounting earnings. I explain why realization of tax shields for finite cash flows in any period of time t are correlated to Earnings before Interest and Taxes and are not correlated to interest expenses at...

In these slides we discuss the practical and conceptual difficulty of finding an Optimal Capital Structure. We propose a normative approach we call Implicit Bankruptcy Costs Theory and how to proceed to find the optimal capital structure and value with period-to-period constant and variable...

In cash flow valuation, on grounds of simplicity, it is common to assume that the leverage is constant over time. With constant leverage, the return to levered equity is constant and consequently, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) applied to the Free Cash Flow is constant. However,...

Practitioners and some academics use potential dividends rather than actual payments toshareholders for valuing a firm´s equity. We underline the differences between the two methods and present some arguments supporting the thesis that firm valuation with potential dividends overstate the...

This paper presents a formulation for the cost of equity, the WACC, and the value of equity and firm for growing perpetuities without circularity, using some previous results. We also derive a relationship between leverage, D%, and growth, given a value of debt at instant zero.

Vélez-Pareja and Tham, 2003a, Vélez-Pareja and Tham, 2003b and Tham and Vélez-Pareja, 2004 showed the matching between discounted cash flow (DCF) methods and value added methods. They departed from the net operating profit less adjusted taxes NOPLAT and net income when using market values to...