1 Introduction -- 2 ‘Classical’ Techniques of Modelling Trends and Cycles -- 3 Stochastic Trends and Cycles -- 4 Filtering Economic Time Series -- 5 Nonlinear and Nonparametric Trend and Cycle Modelling -- 6 Multivariate Modelling of Trends and Cycles -- 7 Conclusions.

<p >Covers the key issues required for students wishing to understand and analyse the core empirical issues in economics. It focuses on descriptive statistics, probability concepts and basic econometric techniques and has an accompanying website that contains all the data used in the examples and...</p>

Modelling trends and cycles in economic time series has a long history, with the use of linear trends and moving averages forming the basic tool kit of economists until the 1970s. Several developments in econometrics then led to an overhaul of the techniques used to extract trends and cycles...