Showing 1 - 10 of 98
The EMU accession countries are obliged to fulfill the Maastrich convergence criteria prior to entering the EMU. This paper uses a DSGE model of a two-sector small open economy, to address the following question: How do the Maastricht convergence criteria modify optimal monetary policy in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778818
industries) in 25 EU countries over the period from 1995 to 2005. By applying a cross-country and industry-specific approach, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008659411
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001660053
firms? And in the European context, have key elements of the EU strategy such as EMU and enlargement helped or hindered … located in participating economies. Enlargement has, instead, two contrasting effects. It improves the accessibility of EU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635984
Euro area GDP and components are nowcast and forecast one quarter ahead. Based on a dataset of 163 series comprising the relevant monthly indicators, simple bridge equations with one explanatory variable are estimated for each. The individual forecasts generated by each equation are then pooled,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789413
Several factor-based models are estimated to investigate the role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro areamanufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset selection on the empirical performance of factor models. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778786
I build a quantitative two-country DSGE model of the European Union (EU) and investigate whether there are welfare … gains from fiscal policy cooperation between the new EU members and the euro area (EMU). Fiscal cooperation is defined in … firms in the new EU countries. When there is no foreign ownership in the new EU countries, the euro area is indifferent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003358603
We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate variables separately and then aggregating those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003280663
This paper provides evidence on the role of net fiscal transfers to households and EU structural funds for per … growth rates in poor receiving regions decline by less than in rich paying regions. EU structural and cohesion funds spent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832335
We use a newly available dataset of euro area quarterly national accounts fiscal data and construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the government deficit, revenue and expenditure in order to assess its information content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790942