Showing 1 - 10 of 46
Using a methodology developed in previous papers, we analyze the quarterly average sale prices of new houses sold in the USA as a whole, in the Northeast, Midwest, South, and West of the USA, in each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia of the USA, to determine whether they have grown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588672
We show using nonlinear time series analysis that the timing of trades in foreign exchange markets has significant information. We apply a set of methods for analyzing point process data developed in neuroscience and nonlinear science. Our results imply that foreign exchange markets might be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589055
We present a general methodology to incorporate fundamental economic factors to the theory of herding developed in our group to describe bubbles and antibubbles. We start from the strong form of rational expectation and derive the general method to incorporate factors in addition to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589255
We analyse, following recent work of Roehner, changes in house prices for both the UK and Ireland. We conclude that prices in the UK/London have reached a tipping point and relative to inflation are set to fall over the next few years. House prices (again relative to inflation) in Ireland are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589937
We present an analysis of oil prices in USD and in other major currencies that diagnoses unsustainable faster-than-exponential behavior. This supports the hypothesis that the recent oil price run-up was amplified by speculative behavior of the type found during a bubble-like expansion. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589949
transition between a phase of low level noise where the prediction is as good as in the absence of noise, and a phase of high … level noise where the prediction becomes poor. In the phase of low and intermediate noise the RIA predicts considerably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589979
Artificial Neural Network Model for prediction of time-series data is revisited on analysis of the Indonesian stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590161
Shanghai Index, we find that the time series of prediction accurate rates is sensitive to the ISDs of agents in group 2 who … prediction accurate rates. Finally, this paper gives suggestion about further research. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590709
DAX and S&P 500 as examples for real-world data using different types of prediction models in comparison. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590729
In a previous work (J. Geophys. Res. (2004)), we have proposed a simple physical model to explain the accelerating displacements preceding some catastrophic landslides, based on a slider-block model with a state- and velocity-dependent friction law. This model predicts two regimes of sliding,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872181