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We give a stochastic microscopic modelling of stock markets driven by continuous double auction. If we take into account the mimetic behavior of traders, when they place limit order, our virtual market shows the power-law tail of the distribution of returns with the exponent outside the Levy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873093
This work is devoted to the study of the Asian crisis of 1997, and its consequences on emerging markets. We have done so by means of a phase transition model. We have analyzed the crashes on leading indices of Hong Kong (HSI), Turkey (XU100), Mexico (MMX), Brazil (BOVESPA) and Argentina...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873570
High-frequency returns of the DAX German blue chip stock index are used to test geometric Brownian motion, the standard model for financial time series. Even on a 15-s time scale, the linear correlations of DAX returns have a zero-time delta function which carries 90% of the weight, while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873639
This article shows turbulent behavior in a series of financial indexes assuming that they follow a cascade process of the same type as do turbulent fluids. With such a model, the energy flux between the eddies that emerge in the fluid is analogous to the financial information flux over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873672
We show, on the basis of our recently introduced stochastic model, that triangular arbitrage makes the auto-correlation function of foreign exchange rates negative in a short time scale.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873950
The price time series of the Italian government bonds (BTP) futures is studied by means of scaling concepts originally developed for random walks in statistical physics. The series of overnight price differences is mapped onto a one-dimensional random walk: the bond walk. The analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874189
A new approach to the understanding of complex behavior of financial markets index using tools from thermodynamics and statistical physics is developed. Physical complexity, a quantity rooted in the Kolmogorov–Chaitin theory is applied to binary sequences built up from real time series of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874203
We describe a bottom–up framework, based on the identification of appropriate order parameters and determination of phase diagrams, for understanding progressively refined agent-based models and simulations of financial markets. We illustrate this framework by starting with a deterministic toy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874583
Interest in thermodynamic analogies in economics is older than the idea of von Neumann to look for market entropy in liquidity, advice that was not taken in any thermodynamic analogy presented so far in the literature. In this paper, we go further and use a standard strategy from trading theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874647
Modern economic theory does not provide a sound foundation on which to build econophysics. Pivotal concepts like utility maximization, perfect competition, and diminishing marginal productivity are empirically and logically flawed. Physicists should not use any of these in econophysics, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010874744