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Catastrophe risk models allow insurers, reinsurers and governments to assess the risk of loss from catastrophic events, such as hurricanes. These models rely on computer technology and the latest earth and meteorological science information to generate thousands if not millions of simulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551884
This paper presents a dynamic model of the reinsurance market for catastrophe risks. The model is based on the classical capacity-constraint assumption. Reinsurers choose every year the quantity of risk they cover and the level of external capital they raise to cover these risks. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551303
Natural disasters could constitute a major shock to public finances and debt sustainability because of their impact on output and the need for reconstruction and relief expenses. This paper uses a panel vector autoregressive model to systematically estimate the impact of geological, climatic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551063
plains), this paper shows that rapid development in these areas -- and the resulting increase in disaster losses -- may be … the consequence of a rational and well-informed trade-off between lower disaster losses and higher productivity. With … disasters possibly becoming less frequent but increasingly destructive in the future, average disaster losses may grow faster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551116
This paper aims to assist policy makers interested in establishing or strengthening financial strategies to increase the financial response capacity of developing country governments in the aftermath of natural disasters, while protecting their long-term fiscal balance. Contingent credit is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551189
The authors analyze the determinants of fatalities in 2,194 large flood events in 108 countries between 1985 and 2008. Given that socioeconomic factors can affect mortality right in the aftermath of a flood, but also indirectly by influencing flood frequency and magnitude, they distinguish...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551220
This paper integrates information on climate change, hydrodynamic models, and geographic overlays to assess the vulnerability of coastal areas in Bangladesh to larger storm surges and sea-level rise by 2050. The approach identifies polders (diked areas), coastal populations, settlements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551499
capital markets. Catastrophe lending facilities providing "cheap" reconstruction funds in the aftermath of a natural disaster …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551593
-effective financing for the different phases that follow a disaster. The paper explains why governments are usually better served by … retaining most of their natural disaster risk while using risk transfer mechanisms to manage the excess volatility of their … budgets or access immediate liquidity after a disaster. Finally, it discusses innovative approaches to disaster risk financing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551644
illustrated to create natural disaster and hazard maps from first hand, geo-referenced meteorological data. In a second step, the … the natural disaster measures derived in the first phase, to estimate the welfare effects associated with natural … differentiation in the welfare effects across space and disaster appears partly linked to the functioning of the disaster relief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551706