This paper investigates whether poor employment prospects of potential insurgents help to fuel conflict. The paper … benefits are unobserved. In contrast, many other shocks in the conflict literature are persistent and unanticipated, thus also … estimates of the effect of harvest shocks on conflict intensity in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan using subnational variation …

increase in many fragile and conflict-affected areas where half of the extreme poor are expected to reside by 2030. These areas …-push" interventions can dramatically reduce poverty in fragile and conflict-affected regions …