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The co-dependence between assets tends to increase when the market declines. This paper develops a correlation measure focusing on market declines using the expected shortfall (ES), referred to as the ES-implied correlation, to improve the existing value at risk (VaR)-implied correlation....
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model and estimation strategy that decompose ex ante real interest rates into a permanent and transitory component even with … short samples and high volatility. This is done with an unobserved component local level stochastic volatility model, which …
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