countries comprising 97 percent of the world's population, this paper simulates a set of scenarios for global poverty from 2018 …The goals of ending extreme poverty by 2030 and working toward a more equal distribution of income are prominent in … poverty and inequality goals. The paper uses different assumptions about growth incidence curves to model changes in …

-2018 may have caused a 1 percentage point decline in world trade growth. The paper also finds that the impact of policy …