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This paper addresses the identification of low-frequency macroeconomic shocks, such as technology, in Structural Vector Autoregressions. Whilst identification issues with long-run restricted VARs are well documented, the recent attempt to overcome said issues using the Max-Share approach of...
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Fiscal buffers have shrunk across the world. This paper argues that limited fiscal room in emerging market economies today is partly due to the commodity super cycle of 2000-15. The super cycle created the mirage that economic performance had structurally improved, mistaking a long,...
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steps to address them. This paper investigates the role of productivity shocks in borrowers' repayment choices. Using a … that negative productivity shocks lead to higher default, even when they do not induce negative returns. This relationship …
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