countries an incentive to improve policies. The paper estimates that a change in the World Banks Country Policy and …

of the impact of conflict point to negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth of -12 percent on average over 2011 …-18, resulting in a GDP contraction to about one-third of the 2010 level. In post-conflict simulation scenarios, the growth drivers …This paper addresses three questions: 1) what would have been the growth and income trajectory of Syria in the absence …

cover episodes of conflict from around the world and study the evolution of these variables during the five years prior to … of these variables in conflict-afflicted economies with economies that did not experience social conflict. The analyses … and five years after the onset of conflicts. Further, four alternative definitions of social conflict are used to …