We predict that GDP will grow 1.5 % in 2000 after falling 0.2 % in 1999. Sluggish growth in 2000 will be driven by domestic demand, namely fixed investment. Interest rates set by the CNB are now in a "parking zone". Two-week repo rate remains at 5.25 %. We do not expect any significant (upward)...

One of the two laureates of the Nobel Prize for economics in 2002 is Daniel Kahneman. After taking a brief look at Kahneman's life, the present article surveys his contributions to our understanding of three aspects of human decision making: judgment, comparison of alternatives and types of...

Transitivity and dominance are key concepts built deep into the fundaments of most economic models of decision-making. One of the arguments in favour of using the two concepts is that they are normative, i.e., symptomatic of perfect, rational decision-making. This paper describes several...

The aim of text was a presentation of brief non-mathematical basic features of individual decision-making models in contemporary economics theories. The text described models are divided into two groups: the first one is "reflection models", the second one "comparison models".

This paper summarizes the major events in the recent history of modelling human decisions under risk. After presenting the basics of expected utility theory, the key pieces of evidence are described which showed that under certain circumstances, this theory is not descriptively valid. The most...

The relatively new stream of research on various types of utilities is reviewed and discussed together with some of its implications. The distinction is explained among experienced utility, remembered utility and predicted utility as three candidates for decision utility. Examples of selected...

The paper argues that the prices of financial instruments contain usefulinformation about the development of different macroeconomic variables. Itsfocus lies in examining the ability of stock prices and of spread betweenlong and shor interest rates to predict real economic activity. We...

During 1990s' the economy of Japan slipped into a long-sustained recession with strong deflation pressures. The aim of the paper is not to analyse this particular development in detail. It focuses on some specific aspects of macroeconomic development of the Japanese economy that gave birth to...

The paper aims at enriching current discussions about the equilibrium exchange rate level for the Czech currency, and generally for transition economies. The main idea of the paper is to introduce one of the newly emerged conceptions of real exchange rate which can indicate potential...

The article provides a general description of the world money development in both developed and developing countries during the second half of 20th century. We were primarily focusing on the long run trends in dollar gold prices, monetary aggregates (broad and narrow money), foreign exchange...