New concepts have been presented in modelling of inflation dynamics recently, among others the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). There are several traditional ways of NKPC model validity testing, but none of them seems to be practically applicable in conditions of the Czech Republic. We tried...

In various fields of macroeconomic modelling, researchers often face the problem of decomposing time series into trend component and cycle fluctuations. While there are several potentially useful methods to perform the task in question, Hodrick-Prescott (HP) fi lter seems to have remained...

The paper is focused on selected factors influencing the money demand development in the Czech Republic from 1994 to 2000. The basic theoretical approaches to the money demand issue and the theoretical background of the analysis are described. The multi- and singl-equational models as a basis...

The character of the consumption function analysis in the Czech Republic is determined by short and non-stable period of the last ten years. The development of consumption in 1990 - 2000 can be divided into four partial different periods. The time series used in the econometric analysis are...

The ECB concept of analysis of deviation of actual money stock development from its long run equilibrium development is based on the assumption that bigger deviation signalizes risks for the price stability. The ECB considers three measures of this deviation: nominal money gap, real money gap...

In modelling of economical time series, it is logical to come out from hypotheses to some economic relationship. If the deviation of time series development is only short time period, with time limit behind it cannot go, we say that time series are in equilibrium. Statisticians call it...

In recent time inflation became a topic between economists and statisticians. An important question is not only an inflation development, but also especially an identification of factors, which influence it. The solution of this task turns into difficult empirical problem not only because of...

The goal of article is to explain the integrated process and stochastic trend like an origin of seeming regression and clarifies a way of detection. The first part contains a description and clarification of stationer and non-stationer attributes of generating process in time series. The second...

The distributed lags models enable the construction of the lag mean, median and variance. The estimators of parameters of the distributed lags models and the autoregressive distributed lags models enable to create the estimators of these basic characteristics. It is obvious that the values of...

This paper is engaged in the construction and interpretation of short-term time series of annual rate of inflation. The quarterly time series of the annual rates of inflation can be understood as the series of moving aggregates of the quarterly rates of inflation. When it is considered that the...