The scope of this paper is to investigate the possibility of using probit analysis for the detection of change-points in economical development. The role of exogenous variables in this analysis is specified. The principal attribute of this contribution is the possibility of the prediction of...

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This article deals with some possibilities of the use of time-series analysis for quarterly statistical estimations of macroeconomic aggregates. It is a case of estimations of aggregates of gross domestic product creation and use. Beyond all doubt, their meaning from the point of view of...

The paper describes the development of household consumption expenditures from a longer perspective. Currently, there are available data for more than forty years and it means that lots of information about changes in structure and main tendencies can be studied. Since the emphasis is put on the...

Relatively short time period embarrasses recognition of mains components of macroeconomic growth, nevertheless six-seven years already undoubtedly provides solid data base for use of tools and technique of economics statistics and national accounts to detailed describe some symptoms of...

The article describes an implementation of national accounts into our statistic use. The goal of the text is to find out some features in short time series of GDP quarter indices. The firstly, attention is focus on a detection of an important time changes in time series. The next part analyses a...

The paper analyzes the evolution of the share of final consumption expenditure on aggregate GDP in thirty countries. From the economic point of view, the analysis of final consumption expenditure changes on GDP in connection with the changes in business cycle phases is ambiguous. The authors...

The estimates of economic development in the countries of the socialist block were carried out in the framework of the so-called Material Product System (MPS). At that time the product was perceived more narrowly than today´s gross domestic product (GDP). It included only the material goods and...

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The analysis of time series of consumer price index offers a many questions bear on elimination of impact outlying observations thus with forecast construction. From statistical point of view development of consumer price index is very complicated owing to administration steps which disturbs a...