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This paper explores ways to integrate model uncertainty into policy evaluation. We first describe a general framework for the incorporation of model uncertainty into standard econometric calculations. This framework employs Bayesian model averaging methods that have begun to appear in a range of...
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—2004. First, we find that the Bank of Japan’s policy commitment to continuing monetary easing until some prespecified conditions … sloping, indicating that the Bank of Japan’s commitment failed to have sufficient influence on the market’s expectations about … escape from the liquidity trap. …
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