Guégan, Dominique; Zhao, Xin - In: Quantitative Finance 14 (2014) 12, pp. 2237-2253
In this paper, we propose an alternative approach to estimate long-term risk. Instead of using the static square root of time method, we use a dynamic approach based on volatility forecasting by non-linear models. We explore the possibility of improving the estimations using different models and...