Economists are often interested in the coefficient of a single endogenous explanatory variable in a linear simultaneous equations model. One way to obtain a confidence set for this coefficient is to invert the Anderson-Rubin test. The AR confidence sets that result have correct coverage under...

We study several methods of constructing confidence sets for the coefficient of the single right-hand-side endogenous variable in a linear equation with weak instruments. Two of these are based on conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) tests, and the others are based on inverting t statistics or the...

In practice, bootstrap tests must use a finite number of bootstrap samples. This means that the outcome of the test will depend on the sequence of random numbers used to generate the bootstrap samples, and it necessarily results in some loss of power. We examine the extent of this power loss and...

Associated with every popular nonlinear estimation method is at least one 'artificial' linear regression. We define an artificial regression in terms of three conditions that it must satisfy. Then we show how artificial regressions can be useful for numerical optimization, testing hypotheses,...

Despite much recent work on the finite-sample properties of estimators and tests for linear regression models with a single endogenous regressor and weak instruments, little attention has been paid to tests for overidentifying restrictions in these circumstances. We study asymptotic tests for...

This paper examines two explanations of the observed positive relationship between inflation rates and saving rates in Canada and the United States. Several models are estimated using quarterly time series data from both countries, and the best of these are subjected to a variety of tests. One...

We propose several Lagrange Multiplier tests of logit and probit models, which may be inexpensively computed by artificial linear regressions. These may be used to test for omitted variables and heteroskedasticity. We argue that one of these tests is likely to have better small-sample...

We develop simple procedures to test for omitted variables and perform other tests in regression directions, which are asymptotically valid in the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We examine the asymptotic behaviour of these tests, and use Edgeworth approximations to study their...

The asymptotic power of a statistical test depends on the model being tested, the (implicit) alternative against which the test is constructed, and the process which actually generated the data. The exact way in which it does so is examined for several classes of models and tests. First, we...

We consider several issues related to what Hausman (1978) called "specification tests", namely tests designed to verify the consistency of parameter estimates. We first review a number of results about these tests in linear regression models, and present some new material on their distribution...