Showing 1 - 10 of 13
We suggest improved tests for cointegration rank in the vector au- toregressive (VAR) model and develop asymptotic distribution theory and local power results. The tests are (quasi-)likelihood ratio tests based on a Gaussian likelihood, but of course the asymptotic results apply more generally....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621711
This paper develops an open-economy Bayesian structural VAR model for Canada in order to estimate the effects of monetary policy shocks, using the overnight target rate as the policy instrument. I allow the policy variable and the financial variables of the model to interact simultaneously with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003768853
Recent developments allow a nonparametric separation of the continuous sample path component and the jump component of realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting for this allows improved forecasting of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795292
I identify a forward-looking monetary policy function in a structural VAR model by using forecasts of macroeconomic variables, in addition to the realized variables used in a standard VAR. Both impulse responses and variance decompositions of the monetary policy variable of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003919312
We consider model based inference in a fractionally cointegrated (or cofractional) vector autoregressive model based on the conditional Gaussian likelihood. The model allows the process X_{t} to be fractional of order d and cofractional of order d-b; that is, there exist vectors β for which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981839
In this paper we apply the recently developed fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model to analyze price discovery in the spot and futures markets for five non-ferrous metals (aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, and zinc). The FCVAR model allows for long memory (fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381431
We use a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive model to examine the relationship between Canadian political support and macroeconomic conditions. This model is well suited for the analysis because it allows multiple fractional time series and admits simple asymptotic inference for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364647
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive uni ed treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = γZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517008
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available Matlab program for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. This program replaces an earlier Matlab program by Nielsen and Morin (2014), and although the present Matlab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418272
This manual describes the usage of the accompanying freely available software package for estimation and testing in the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model. -- cofractional process ; cointegration rank ; fractional autoregressive model ; fractional cointegration ;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270739