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The Role of Fiscal Policies for External Imbalances : Evidence from the European Union
Afonso, António; Coelho, José - 2021
two deficits is asymmetric and the negative impact of the recent Eurozone banking and sovereign debt crisis on the current … positive impact of the budget balance on the current account balance is higher in the cases of non-Eurozone countries, high … budget deficit countries, and low exports countries, whereas it is lower in the cases of Eurozone countries, low budget …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247757
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Euro Area Time-Varying Cyclicality of Fiscal Policy
Afonso, António; Carvalho, Francisco Tiago - 2021
We assess the cyclicality of fiscal policy in the 19 Euro area countries, notably during recessions, for the period 1995-2020. We use a time-varying measure of fiscal cyclicality to describe fiscal policy developments. The results suggest that during recessions discretionary fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321855
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The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads : An Event Study from the EMU
Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar; Kazemi, Mina - 2019
We assess the impact of announcements corresponding to different fiscal and monetary policy measures on the 10-year sovereign bond yield spreads (relative to Germany) of the 10 EMU countries during the period 01:1999 - 07:2016. Implementing pooled and country-fixed effects OLS regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014108277
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The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023
We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn’s (1998) approach through Schlicht’s (2003)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346577