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prices, equity prices and interest rates. Uncertainty shocks cause deeper recessions in Continental Europe (except Germany …) than in Anglo-Saxon countries. This pattern is compatible with the view that continental Europe still suffers from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011691548
countries predominantly from Europe as well as of the British pound and of the euro (first statistical moment). We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582007
On 10 January 2013 the ECB Governing Council decided “to keep the key ECB interest rates unchanged” based on an assessment of a 'contained' inflationary pressure and a weak economic activity, a contraction of real GDP in second and third quarter of 2012. Similar decisions have been taken by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255176
The financial crisis affected regions in Europe in a different magnitude. This is why we examine whether regions which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443947
The interest rate is generally considered as an important driver of macroeconomic investment. As an innovation, this paper derives the exact shape of the "hysteretic" impact of changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031139
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the … shows a fairly consistently negative effect on the real economy in Europe. However, the implications of economic policy … uncertainty for Europe and the Euro area in particular are not so straightforward. It seems as if policy uncertainty raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761787
risks of a premature versus a delayed exit are assessed. In particular, the paper looks at the risk associated to spillover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371341
This paper comments on the role of the Monetary Dialogue in the context of an evolving monetary policy. The discussion is conducted in terms of the adoption of forward guidance on interest rates by the European Central Bank (ECB), the ECB’s model choice and data revision policies in inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350483
We investigate the linkage between business cycle convergence and financial portfolio choice for a panel of 18 EU countries. We construct an index of similarity of financial portfolios which we then put into context with the view that “the financial world” has an impact on business cycles...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255115
In this paper we describe the genesis of a doomsday scenario and discuss potential causes and motivations for a breakup of the euro area. For this purpose, we differentiate between the departure of weak and strong countries, and examine the impact of the reintroduction of a national currency on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255127