Interest income is the most important source of revenue for most of thebanks. The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of different interest ratescenarios on the banks' interest income. As we do not know the interest ratesensitivity of real banks, we construct for each bank a portfolio with...

This paper describes the rst thorough analysis of the interest risk of German banks on anindividual bank level. We develop a new method that is based on time series of accountingbaseddata to quantify the interest risk of banks and apply it to analyze the German bankingsystem. We find evidence...

Assessments of investors’ risk appetite/aversion stance via indicators often yields resultswhich seem unsatisfactory (see e.g. Illing and Aaron (2005)). Understanding howsuch indicators work therefore seems essential for further improvements. The presentpaper seeks to contribute to this...

The stochastic frontier analysis (Aigner et al., 1977, Meeusen and van de Broeck, 1977)is widely used to estimate individual efficiency scores. The basic idea lies in the introductionof an additive error term consisting of a noise and an inefficiency term. Most oftenthe assumption of a...

We investigate the relationship between real estate markets and bank distress amongGerman universal and specialized mortgage banks between 1995 and 2004. Higherhouse prices increase the value of collateral, which reduces the probability of bankdistress (PDs). But higher prices at given rents may...

Stress testing has become a crucial point on the Basel II agenda, mainly as Pillar I estimatesdo not explicitly take portfolio concentration into account. We start from the credit portfolioof the German pension insurer being a cross-sectional representation of the German economyand subsequently...

Rating downgrades are known to make subsequent downgrades more likely. We analyze theimpact of this ‘downward momentum’ on credit portfolio risk. Using S&P ratings from 1996to 2005, we estimate a transition matrix that is insensitive to and a second matrix that is sensitiveto previous...

Banks continue to dier in many ways, for instance with respect to business models,growth strategies, or nancial health. Neglecting these dierences confuses ine-ciency with heterogeneity while sub-sample estimation prohibits eciency comparisonsacross dierent samples. We use a latent class...

In the work of the Basel Committee there has been a tradition ofdistinguishing market from credit risk and to treat both categories independentlyin the calculation of risk capital. In practice positionsin a portfolio depend simultaneously on both market and credit riskfactors. In this case, an...

In this study we develop and demonstrate a powerful and flexible forward-looking portfoliosimulation methodology for assessing the correlated impacts of market risk, and privatesector, sovereign and inter-bank default risk on both individual banks (i.e. 28 of the largestBrazilian banks) and...