This paper proposes to use a rather new statistical approach in the realm of solar radiation modelling namely Bayesian inference. In this work, the theory of Bayesian inference will be presented at length. The Bayesian analysis consists in two levels. The first one is related to the parameter...

For some locations both global and diffuse solar radiation are measured. However, for many locations, only global is measured, or inferred from satellite data. For modelling solar energy applications, the amount of radiation on a tilted surface is needed. Since only the direct component on a...

For some locations both global and diffuse solar radiation are measured. However, for many locations, only global radiation is measured, or inferred from satellite data. For modelling solar energy applications, the amount of radiation on a tilted surface is needed. Since only the direct...

This work aims at assessing the performances of four models for their relative merits in estimating diffuse solar radiation on tilted planes for a southern location (Reunion Island). This comparative study benefits from a sound and consistent experimental set-up and is more detailed than the...

We apply the CARDS solar forecasting tool, developed at the University of South Australia, to forecasting of solar radiation series at three sites in Guadeloupe in the Caribbean. After performing the model estimates at each individual site, forecast errors were tested for cross correlation. It...