(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) En este trabajo se revisa la obra publicada recientemente sobre la viabilidad fiscal, con acento especial en los países de mercados emergentes. Se tratan los elementos principales que distinguen a los países de mercados emergentes de los países...

(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) Según investigaciones recientes, factores externos y consideraciones de la gestión política son determinantes claves de los flujos de capitales en América Latina. Proponemos que la conducción empresarial también es un factor determinante crucial....

This paper surveys the recent literature on fiscal sustainability, with particular emphasis on emerging market countries. It discusses the main elements that differentiate emerging market countries from industrial countries and then discusses how probabilistic models can help to evaluate fiscal...

According to recent research, external factors and political governance considerations are key determinants of capital flows in Latin America. We postulate that corporate governance is a crucial determinant as well. We show that while the region is characterized by relatively low levels of...

Este documento analiza la importancia de la integración financiera en Centro América, enfatizando los efectos de la actual crisis internacional sobre los sistemas financieros de la subregión. Después de presentar evidencia sobre la integración financiera en Centro América y la compara con...

An examination of several case studies in the region suggests that the ability to sustain a credible monetary policy depends on how vulnerable countries are to the impacts of sudden stops. In this respect, four aspects are of vital importance to ameliorate such impacts. Opening up the economy so...

We offer an alternative explanation for t he fall of Argentina’s Convertibility Program based on the country’s vulnerability to Sudden Stops in capital flows. Sudden Stops are typically accompanied by a substantial increase in the real exchange rate that wreaks havoc in countries that are...

This paper analyzes the relevance of external factors in average quarterly GDP growth for 1990-2006 in the seven largest Latin American countries (LAC7). Modeling the relationship between LAC7 GDP and several external factors, it is found that those factors account for a significant share of...

Using a sample of emerging markets that are integrated into global bond markets, we analyze the collapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings...

(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) Presentamos una explicación alternativa de la caída del programa de convertibilidad de Argentina, basándonos en la vulnerabilidad del país a las paradas repentinas de los flujos de capitales. Las paradas repentinas por lo general van acompañadas de...