(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) En este trabajo se trata el patrón cambiante de los ingresos de capitales a los países en desarrollo. El análisis se ve considerablemente distorsionado por acontecimientos recientes. Se concentra en los hechos, desarrollos y políticas principales...

We offer an alternative explanation for t he fall of Argentina’s Convertibility Program based on the country’s vulnerability to Sudden Stops in capital flows. Sudden Stops are typically accompanied by a substantial increase in the real exchange rate that wreaks havoc in countries that are...

Using a sample of emerging markets that are integrated into global bond markets, we analyze the collapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings...

This paper discusses the economic performance of Latin America in the last decade, paying special attention to growth and the financial sector. In particular, it shows that external factors, such as like U. S. interest rates and the business cycle, play a key role in capital inflows, investment,...

At the time of writing there were widespread concerns about the health of the U. S. economy. There is conclusive evidence that the pace of growth has slowed, which has prompted the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates on two occasions (a total of 100 basis points thus far). As usual, when faced...

(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) Presentamos una explicación alternativa de la caída del programa de convertibilidad de Argentina, basándonos en la vulnerabilidad del país a las paradas repentinas de los flujos de capitales. Las paradas repentinas por lo general van acompañadas de...

Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...

(Disponible en idioma inglés únicamente) En este mundo postmoderno de gran movilidad de los capitales, los países están siendo disciplinados por el anónimo mercado de capitales. Una perspectiva de la situación, quizá la imperante entre los economistas, es que Wall Street saca de quicio...

Using a sample of 32 developed and developing countries we analyze the empirical characteristics of Sudden Stops in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their occurrence. We find that large real exchange rate (RER) fluctuations accompanied by Sudden Stops...

The paper argues that Emerging Market economies (EMs) face financial vulnerabilities that weaken the effectiveness of a domestic Lender of Last Resort (LOLR). As a result, monetary policy is inextricably linked to the state of the credit market. In particular, the central bank should be ready to...