How is the term structure able to predict future interest rates several months in the future and why is it so steep at the short end? Recent empirical work shows that rates of mean reversion are too slow to help predict short rates or to account for the curve's steepness. We propose that short...

Foreign exchange rates are examined using cointegration tests over various time periods linked to regime shifts in central bank behavior. The number of cointegrating vectors seems to vary across these regime changes within the foreign exchange market. For example, cointegration is not generally...

This paper reviews the uses of U.S. employer salary surveys for labor market research. Recent computational, theoretical, and econometric advances render these surveys ripe for exploitation. It summarize theories of employer wage effects and then describe salary surveys and their preparation for...