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Portfolio allocation for European markets with predictability and parameter uncertainty

Jondeau, Eric; Rockinger, Michael - 2010

We implement a long-horizon static and dynamic portfolio allocation involving a risk-free and a risky asset. This model is calibrated at a quarterly frequency for ten European countries. We also use maximum-likelihood estimates and Bayesian estimates to account for parameter uncertainty. We find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797745

The Economic Value of Distributional Timing

Jondeau, Eric; Rockinger, Michael - Institut für Schweizerisches Bankwesen <Zürich> - 2006

We evaluate how non-normality of asset returns and the temporal evolution of volatility and higher moments affects the conditional allocation of wealth. We show that if one neglects these aspects, as would be the case in a mean-variance allocation, a significant cost would arise. The performance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858337

Moment component analysis : an illustration with international stock markets

Jondeau, Eric; Jurczenko, Emmanuel; Rockinger, Michael - 2010

It is well known that non-normality plays an important role in asset and risk management. However, handling a large number of assets has long been a challenge due to the curse of dimensionality. We describe a statistical technique, which we call Moment Component Analysis (MCA), that extends...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797742

Long-term portfolio management with a structural macroeconomic model

Cales, Ludovic; Jondeau, Eric; Rockinger, Michael - 2013

The aim of this paper is to investigate long-term portfolio management in a fully structural macro- financial framework. First, we estimate a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model that describes the dynamic of the US economy and financial markets. In addition to the typical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256360

Optimal long-term allocation with pension fund liabilities

Jondeau, Eric; Rockinger, Michael - 2014

We build a macroeconomic model for Switzerland, the Euro Area, and the USA that drives the dynamics of several asset classes and the liabilities of a representative Swiss (defined-contribution) pension fund. This encompassing approach allows us to generate correlations between returns on assets...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442892

Market efficiency reloaded: why insider trades do not reveal exploitable information

Dickgiesser, Sebastian; Kaserer, Christoph - 2008

by a subset of stocks with high arbitrage risk as measured by their idiosyncratic volatility. This restrains arbitrageurs … from engaging in otherwise profitable and price-correcting trades. As arbitrage risk is positively related to a stock's bid … mainly be explained by the cost associated with risky arbitrage. Our findings provide evidence that the German stock market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305695

Market liquidity risk: an overview

Stange, Sebastian; Kaserer, Christoph - 2009

Market liquidity is the ease of trading an asset. Its risk is the potential loss, because a security can only be traded at high or prohibitive costs. While the omnipresence and importance of market liquidity is widely acknowledged, it has long remained a more or less elusive concept. Treatment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305705

Measuring market liquidity risk - which model works best?

Ernst, Cornelia; Stange, Sebastian; Kaserer, Christoph - 2009

Market liquidity risk, the difficulty or cost of trading assets in crises, has been recognized as an important factor in risk management. Literature has already proposed several models to include liquidity risk in the standard Value-at-Risk framework. While theoretical comparisons between those...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305708

DAXplus family: Ein Aktienindex zur Darstellung der Performance von Familienunternehmen

Achleitner, Ann-Kristin; Kaserer, Christoph; Kauf, Tobias; … - 2010

In January 2010 the Deutsche Börse Group introduced two family firm stock indices. Both indices are calculated as price and performance indices and extend the number of investment strategy indices of Deutsche Börse Group. The DAXplus Family is an all-share index whereas the DAXplus Family 30...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305712

Why and how to integrate liquidity risk into a VaR-framework

Stange, Sebastian; Kaserer, Christoph - 2008

We integrate liquidity risk measured by the weighted spread into a Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework. The weighted spread measure extracts liquidity costs by order size from the limit order book. We show that it is precise from a risk perspective in a wide range of clearly defined situations. Using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305731